Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon St.
Pac-12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#92
Expected Predictive Rating+4.0#110
Pace78.8#13
Improvement-4.0#307

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#44
Improvement-1.1#224

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#176
Improvement-2.9#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 251   Cal St. Bakersfield W 86-62 90%     1 - 0 +15.3 -3.6 +16.1
  Nov 16, 2011 218   Hofstra W 82-72 86%     2 - 0 +3.5 +4.1 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2011 25   Texas W 100-95 OT 28%     3 - 0 +16.6 +14.5 +1.2
  Nov 21, 2011 13   Vanderbilt L 62-64 21%     3 - 1 +12.0 -6.5 +18.6
  Nov 26, 2011 331   @ Towson W 66-46 93%     4 - 1 +9.1 +0.9 +11.5
  Dec 04, 2011 95   Montana W 71-46 64%     5 - 1 +26.8 +4.3 +23.6
  Dec 09, 2011 150   Idaho L 60-74 76%     5 - 2 -16.1 -14.8 -1.5
  Dec 13, 2011 280   Illinois-Chicago W 95-53 92%     6 - 2 +31.7 +5.8 +20.9
  Dec 15, 2011 311   Howard W 93-72 96%     7 - 2 +6.6 +9.6 -4.4
  Dec 18, 2011 207   Portland St. W 101-68 85%     8 - 2 +27.2 +12.8 +12.0
  Dec 21, 2011 332   @ Chicago St. W 92-66 93%     9 - 2 +15.0 -5.4 +14.2
  Dec 29, 2011 67   @ Washington L 80-95 31%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -4.4 +4.1 -7.0
  Dec 31, 2011 136   @ Washington St. L 76-81 49%     9 - 4 0 - 2 +0.7 +0.5 +0.4
  Jan 05, 2012 34   California W 92-85 43%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +14.3 +18.7 -4.7
  Jan 07, 2012 64   Stanford L 101-103 4OT 55%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +2.0 +2.8 -0.2
  Jan 12, 2012 47   @ Arizona L 73-81 OT 26%     10 - 6 1 - 4 +4.1 +4.3 +0.1
  Jan 14, 2012 225   @ Arizona St. L 66-76 70%     10 - 7 1 - 5 -10.0 -10.0 +0.5
  Jan 19, 2012 59   UCLA W 87-84 54%     11 - 7 2 - 5 +7.5 +15.2 -7.8
  Jan 21, 2012 219   USC W 78-59 87%     12 - 7 3 - 5 +12.5 +12.1 +1.2
  Jan 29, 2012 66   @ Oregon W 76-71 30%     13 - 7 4 - 5 +15.7 -1.8 +17.0
  Feb 02, 2012 86   @ Colorado L 60-82 36%     13 - 8 4 - 6 -12.9 -12.0 +1.2
  Feb 04, 2012 296   @ Utah W 76-58 83%     14 - 8 5 - 6 +13.1 -0.5 +12.9
  Feb 09, 2012 136   Washington St. L 73-83 73%     14 - 9 5 - 7 -11.1 -1.1 -10.2
  Feb 12, 2012 67   Washington L 72-75 56%     14 - 10 5 - 8 +0.8 -6.7 +7.8
  Feb 16, 2012 64   @ Stanford L 82-87 30%     14 - 11 5 - 9 +5.8 +11.3 -5.1
  Feb 18, 2012 34   @ California L 63-77 21%     14 - 12 5 - 10 +0.1 -0.2 -0.4
  Feb 26, 2012 66   Oregon L 73-74 56%     14 - 13 5 - 11 +2.9 +1.4 +1.5
  Mar 01, 2012 296   Utah W 77-67 94%     15 - 13 6 - 11 -1.8 -1.1 -0.8
  Mar 03, 2012 86   Colorado W 83-69 62%     16 - 13 7 - 11 +16.3 +10.7 +5.2
  Mar 07, 2012 136   Washington St. W 69-64 62%     17 - 13 +7.3 -0.6 +8.3
  Mar 08, 2012 67   Washington W 86-84 43%     18 - 13 +9.2 +10.6 -1.6
  Mar 09, 2012 47   Arizona L 61-72 38%     18 - 14 -2.3 -4.2 +1.5
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%